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Jay Currie

One Damn Thing After Another

6/16/2004

Coyne v. Herle

To be fair, this is not only the judgment of the Globe. It is becoming the settled wisdom of a good section of the Canadian political class. Which is to say, the Liberal campaign is working. Specifically, the decision to hold a snap election, in the middle of the biggest political scandal in modern Canadian history, will prove to have been a gamble worth taking -- as a matter of tactics, I mean. Yes, in the early going it looked desperate and sleazy, and fully validated the public anger the Globe finds so mystifying. But memories fade, and as the days have passed the broader Liberal strategy has come to the fore: namely, call an election before the newly-minted opposition party has had time to even decide on its policies, let alone explain them to the public. Then accuse it of having a hidden agenda.
andrew coyne
andrew Coyne admits he may well be wrong about how well the Liberal sleeze is working. However, he has got the Liberal Party's "win no matter" what strategy pegged.

Like many Canadian elections this one will be about whether the Liberal Party can fool and scare enough Ontarians into voting Grit. On the numbers it is awfully close. David Herle's going negative early may have managed to frighten just enough voters to let the Liberals stay even with the Tories. The problem, of course, is that twelve days of negative ads added to the seven we've already seen will tend to blunt their effect.

Whether Harper can inject a bit of passion into his own performance over the next few days is an open question; but, for the moment, the Liberals have fired all the guns they have.