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Jay Currie

One Damn Thing After Another

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Fix was in

Every so often veteran horse bettors get a buzz. "There's stable money on the fifth." The buzz is all about the punter's belief that, despite the safeguards and the committees once in a while the trainers and the jockeys get together to ensure that a long shot wins a race. Most of the time the buzz is wrong. Sometimes it isn't.

Looks like there was a little stable money on the table in Iran.

Tehran Mayor Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, a self-proclaimed ``fundamentalist,'' is leading vote counts in Iran's presidential election based on preliminary results, the Interior Ministry said.

Ahmadinejad, 48, was ahead of former President Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, 70, by 17 million votes to 9.8 million, the ministry said today in a statement. It didn't provide a total participation figure. Some 29.3 million Iranians voted in the first round on June 17.
Now, here's a little hint on stable money. Once in a very long while the stable miscalculates and puts enough money on the fix that the longshot's odd drop - fast. On the math it looks like turnout for the second round is 26.8 million and rising. The original number, 29 million, was almost certainly a fraud. If Ahmadinejad wins with over 30 million a lot of mullahs noses will be that much longer.

Update: Check out Publius Pundit for updates and live pics of deserted polling stations in Iran. Essentially a donkey won the Kentucky Derby...but there was no fraud you understand.
Interior ministry officials monitored polling stations for evidence of malpractice, with some 300 complaints of electoral violations in Tehran alone, the Associated Press news agency reports.
Time for Iranians to gett out the whistles and the pots and pans...Green is a great Islamic colour. Looks good on a scarf.